The EQ Post

“How shall freedom be defended? By arms when it is attacked by arms, by truth when it is attacked by lies, by faith when it is attacked by authoritarian dogma. Always, in the final act, by determination and faith.” ― Archibald MacLeish

EQ Photo

EQ Photo
“When I despair, I remember that all through history the way of truth and love have always won. There have been tyrants and murderers, and for a time, they can seem invincible, but in the end, they always fall. Think of it--always.” ― Mahatma Gandhi

EQ Video



“How shall freedom be defended? By arms when it is attacked by arms, by truth when it is attacked by lies, by faith when it is attacked by authoritarian dogma. Always, in the final act, by determination and faith.”

― Archibald MacLeish

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Political Predictions in the Philippines! (Caution: You may not like some of them)

You don't have to be a Nostradamus to make predictions on "President" Duterte
These EQ Post's predictions are based on actual quotes and his public statements!
 Duterte's Expiration Date?
1.) “Will I survive the 6 years? I’d make a prediction: maybe not.” Du30 
Bakit sabi nila papatay muna sila  bale wala na 
ang "Due Process"?
2.) The dreaded Davao Death Squads (DDS) will be expanded nationwide!
“Am I the death squad? True. That is true,” Duterte said on-air while discussing his accomplishments as Davao’s chief executive. He then pledged that if he became president of the Philippines he would execute 100,000 more criminals and dump their bodies in Manila Bay.
Duterte’s comments echoed those he earlier made which asserted the summary killing of suspected criminals as a key plank to his approach to public security.
Duterte’s boastful brand of violent impunity should be a path to prosecution, not a platform for political office. Until the government adopts a zero tolerance attitude toward public officials who publicly endorse extrajudicial killings as an acceptable approach to governance, Duterte and others like him will pose a grave danger to the safety of the citizens they are elected to protect.From Human Rights Watch 
3.) Duterte  will declare Martial Law!  
The tough-talking local executive says he will simply close down Congress if it attempts to impeach him. "'Pag i-impeach ako, sabi ni Trillanes, eh 'di isara ko 'yang Congress. Eh 'di wala nang mag-impeach sa akin," said Duterte in Bataan on Thursday. 
Duterte had previously brought up the idea of having a "revolutionary government" if he becomes president, and he said he intends to follow through on it. In every revolution that succeeds, siya 'yung tigas. He now becomes the authority," he said, before bringing up the case of late former president Ferdinand Marcos. "Tingnan mo si Marcos. Pero kaniya, Martial Law, iba yun. Dictator? Ah, eh 'di alangan. Ako na ang Congress, ako na ang presidente, dictator ka talaga," said Duterte, adding that congressmen wouldn't be able to do anything about it. "Sabihin ng congressman, 'Bakit mo naman kami isara?' Eh p-- ina, impeach-impeach kayo diyan," he added.
“I need to control my mouth.” Du30
4.) “If you are the President of the country, you need to be prim and proper.” Du30
From New Yorker:
His inaugural speech, in June, was obscenity-free.
The resolution didn’t last. Duterte’s war on drugs has resulted in the deaths of more than three thousand people, drawing condemnation from human-rights groups and Western governments. In early September, before the summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, in Laos, a journalist asked Duterte what he would say if President Barack Obama raised the issue of human rights. “You know, the Philippines is not a vassal state,” he replied. “We have long ceased to be a colony of the United States.” Alternating between English and Tagalog, and pounding on the lectern, Duterte, it was widely reported, said of Obama, “Son of a whore, I’ll curse you at that forum.” 
5.) Duterte does not, as he has put it, “give a shit” about human rights. He sees it as a Western obsession that keeps the Philippines from taking the action necessary to clean up the country. He is also hypersensitive to criticism. “Duterte’s weakness is, really, he’s a tough guy,” Greco Belgica, a Filipino politician and an ally of Duterte’s, said. “You do not talk down to a tough guy. He’ll snap.”
From New Yorker 
6) Marcos could be new VP!
FORMER senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. may become the country’s next vice president if he wins his electoral protest against Vice President Maria Leonor “Leni” Robredo, President Rodrigo Duterte said Wednesday night in Beijing.
The President made the remark as he introduced Marcos during his meeting with the Filipino community in Beijing.
Marcos and his sister, Ilocos Norte Gov. Imee Marcos, joined the President’s state visit to China and were on stage when Duterte spoke.
“Si Bongbong … Kung manalo siya sa protest niya baka bago ang ating bise presidente [Bongbong … If he wins in his election protest, maybe we will have a new vice president],” Duterte said. From Manila Times
7) The WORST is yet to come!
From The Economist:
UNDER Rodrigo Duterte, the president of the Philippines since late June, things have a habit of spiralling out of control. First came his campaign against the drug trade, which has led to the killing of almost 3,000 suspected dealers by police and unknown assailants, without even a nod at due process. In less than three months, he has presided over three-quarters as many extrajudicial killings as there were lynchings of black people in America between 1877 and 1950.
When Barack Obama expressed concern about the killings, Mr Duterte called him a “son of a whore”. America’s president tried to shrug off the insult. But Mr Duterte took the row to a new level this week, calling for American special forces to leave the southern island of Mindanao, where they have been training Filipino troops fighting several long insurgencies. “For as long as we stay with America,” he said, brandishing a picture of an atrocity committed by American soldiers more than a century ago, “we will never have peace”.
On September 13th he told his defence secretary to buy weapons from Russia and China rather than America, hitherto the Philippines’ closest ally, and the source of hundreds of millions of dollars in military aid each year. He also said the navy would no longer patrol the South China Sea alongside American vessels. This reversal is all the more surprising given America’s huge popularity in the Philippines.
In other words, Mr Duterte is not just crass and brutal; he is alarmingly volatile. Since becoming president, he has threatened to withdraw from the United Nations and to declare martial law. He idolises Ferdinand Marcos, a former dictator who did impose martial law. He says he wants to give Marcos a hero’s burial in Manila. All this, naturally, frightens both local and foreign investors and threatens to undermine the Philippines’ newly acquired status as South-East Asia’s economic star.

 “At what point do you say, ‘Enough is enough’? Well, the world has to say it — remember that the Sudetenland was given in an attempt to appease Hitler to prevent World War II.” P.Noy
8) Duterte will keep flip-flopping!
From Forbes
Philippine’s President Rodrigo Duterte has flip-flopped on Manila’s South China Sea disputes again. After cozying up to China and announcing a “divorce” from Washington last month, Duterte now promises to respect defense treaties with “friend” and “ally” the United States, according to Reuters.
Did the unexpected US election outcome make him change his mind?
It’s hard to say. What isn’t hard to say is that Duterte’s flip-flops have been crushing Philippines’ equities, making investors uneasy about the stability of Philippines and the South China Sea Region.

Fund 1-Month Performance 3-Month Performance
ishares MSCI China (NYSE:FXI) -5.39% -3.62%
iShares MSCI Philippines (NYSE:EPHE) -8.42 -18.57
Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (NYSE:VNM) -7.37 -9.34

Source: 11/11/2016

Maintaining a tally on Philippines’ President’s position on South China Sea disputes is hard to do.
Dutertes flip-flops began last July after an international arbitration ruling, which found that China has no historic title over the waters of the South China Sea.
That was a big victory for both the Philippines, which had filed the arbitration case, and its close ally the US, which wants South China Sea to be an open sea.
One month later, Duterte sent a loud and clear message to China: stay away from our territory or else face the possibility of a “bloody” confrontation.
Duterte’s warning came shortly before China hosted the G20 Leaders’ Summit, and soon after a Japan Times editorial revealed that China had set a “red line” for Japan in the South China Sea, raising tensions in the region.
Then came the big flop: Duterte decided to side with China in the dispute, and seek a “divorce” from the US.
Now, Duterte is telling the world that he didnt mean to get a divorce from the US. When it comes to its military alliance with the US, that is.
Does he really mean it this time around?
Once again, its hard to say. But investors arent waiting for the answer. They are shunning Philippines equities.